Ndondomeko zazachuma zaukali komanso zosasamala zomwe United States idatengera zadzetsa kukwera kwamitengo padziko lonse lapansi, zomwe zikuyambitsa kusokonekera kwachuma komanso kukwera kwaumphawi, makamaka m'maiko omwe akutukuka kumene, akatswiri apadziko lonse lapansi atero.
Polimbana ndi kukwera kwa inflation ku US, komwe kudakwera 9 peresenti mu June, US Federal Reserve yakweza chiwongola dzanja kanayi pamlingo wapano wa 2.25 mpaka 2.5 peresenti.
A Benyamin Poghosyan, wapampando wa Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies ku Yerevan, Armenia, adauza China Daily kuti kukweraku kwasokoneza misika yazachuma padziko lonse lapansi, pomwe mayiko ambiri omwe akutukuka kumene akukumana ndi kukwera kwa inflation, akuyesa kuyesa kulimba mtima pamaso. za zovuta zosiyanasiyana zapadziko lonse lapansi.
"Izi zachititsa kale kutsika kwakukulu kwa yuro ndi ndalama zina, ndipo zidzapitiriza kukweza kukwera kwa mitengo," adatero.
Ogula amagula nyama pamalo ogulitsira a Safeway pomwe kukwera kwa mitengo ku Annapolis, Maryland
Ku Tunisia, dola yamphamvu ndi kukwera kwakukulu kwamitengo yambewu ndi mphamvu zikuyembekezeredwa kuti ziwonjezeke kupereŵera kwa bajeti ya dzikolo mpaka 9,7 peresenti ya GDP chaka chino kuchokera ku zomwe zanenedwa kale 6,7 peresenti, adatero bwanamkubwa wa banki yapakati Marouan Abassi.
Kumapeto kwa chaka chino, ngongole ya anthu onse mdziko muno ikuyembekezeka kufika ma dinar 114.1 biliyoni ($ 35.9 biliyoni), kapena 82.6 peresenti ya GDP yake.Tunisia ikupita patsogolo ngati kuwonongeka kwachuma kwachuma kukupitilirabe, banki yazachuma Morgan Stanley idachenjeza mu Marichi.
Kutsika kwamitengo yapachaka kwa Turkiye kudafika pa 79.6 peresenti mu Julayi, okwera kwambiri m'zaka 24.Dola imodzi idagulitsidwa pa 18.09 Turkey liras pa Aug 21, zomwe zikuwonetsa kutayika kwamtengo wa 100 peresenti poyerekeza ndi chaka chapitacho, pomwe ndalama zosinthira zinali 8.45 liras ku dollar.
Ngakhale boma likuyesetsa kukweza malipiro ochepa kuti ateteze anthu ku mavuto azachuma omwe amabwera chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo, anthu aku Turkey akuvutika kuti apeze zofunika pamoyo.
A Tuncay Yuksel, eni ake ogulitsa ku Ankara, adati banja lawo ladutsa zakudya monga nyama ndi mkaka kuchokera pamndandanda wazakudya chifukwa chakukwera mitengo kuyambira chiyambi cha chaka.
"Chilichonse chakwera mtengo kwambiri, ndipo mphamvu zogulira nzika zatsika kwambiri," Xinhua News Agency idagwira mawu a Yuksel."Anthu ena sangakwanitse kugula zinthu zofunika kwambiri."
Kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja cha US Fed "kwadzetsa kukwera kwa mitengo m'maiko omwe akutukuka kumene", ndipo kusunthaku sikuli koyenera, adatero Poghosyan.
"A US akugwiritsa ntchito dola hegemony kuti akwaniritse zofuna zake za geopolitical. US iyenera kukhala ndi udindo pazochitika zake, makamaka monga momwe US imadziwonetsera ngati woteteza ufulu wa anthu padziko lonse lapansi yemwe amasamala za aliyense.
"Zimapangitsa moyo wa anthu mamiliyoni ambiri kukhala womvetsa chisoni, koma ndikukhulupirira kuti US ilibe kanthu."
Jerome Powell, wapampando wa US Federal Reserve, anachenjeza pa Ogasiti 26 kuti US ikuyenera kukweza chiwongola dzanja chokulirapo m'miyezi ikubwerayi ndipo yatsimikiza mtima kuchepetsa kukwera kwamitengo kwazaka 40.
Tang Yao, pulofesa wothandizira ku Guanghua School of Management ku Peking University, adati kuchepetsa kukwera kwa mitengo ndikofunikira kwambiri ku Washington kotero kuti Fed ikuyembekezeka kupitiliza kukweza mitengo kwazaka zambiri zikubwerazi.
Izi zitha kuyambitsa kusokonekera kwa ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi, kupangitsa kuti ndalama ziyende bwino kuchokera kumisika yapadziko lonse kupita ku US komanso kutsika kwandalama zina zambiri, adatero Tang, ndikuwonjezera kuti ndondomekoyi ipangitsanso kuti msika wa masheya ndi ma bond uchepe komanso mayiko omwe ali ndi vuto lazachuma komanso zachuma. zofunikira zachuma kuti zikhale ndi zoopsa zambiri monga kuwonjezereka kwa ngongole.
Bungwe la International Monetary Fund lachenjezanso kuti zoyesayesa za Fed zolimbana ndi zovuta zamitengo zitha kugunda misika yomwe ikubwera yodzaza ndi ngongole zakunja.
"Kuchulukirachulukira kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kungakhale kovuta makamaka kumayiko omwe ali pachiwopsezo chachikulu chazachuma, zovuta zokhudzana ndi miliri zomwe sizinathetsedwe komanso zosowa zandalama zakunja," idatero.
Spillover zotsatira
Wu Haifeng, mkulu wa bungwe la Fintech Center la Shenzhen Institute of Data Economy, adanenanso za momwe ndondomeko ya Fed ikuyendera, ponena kuti imabweretsa kusatsimikizika ndi chipwirikiti m'misika yapadziko lonse ndipo imakhudza kwambiri chuma chambiri.
Kukweza chiwongola dzanja sikunachepetse kukwera kwa mitengo yapakhomo ku US moyenera, kapena kuchepetsa mitengo ya ogula mdzikolo, Wu adati.
Kukwera kwamitengo ya ogula ku US kudakwera 9.1 peresenti m'miyezi 12 mpaka Juni, kuwonjezereka kofulumira kwambiri kuyambira Novembara 1981, malinga ndi ziwerengero za boma.
Komabe, a US sakufuna kuvomereza zonsezi ndikugwira ntchito ndi mayiko ena kuti apititse patsogolo kudalirana kwa mayiko chifukwa sakufuna kutsutsana ndi zofuna zawo kuphatikizapo olemera ndi mafakitale ankhondo, Wu adatero.
Misonkho yoperekedwa ku China, mwachitsanzo, kapena chilango chilichonse kumayiko ena, ilibe kanthu kupatula kupangitsa ogula aku US kuwononga ndalama zambiri ndikuwopseza chuma cha US, Wu adati.
Akatswiri amawona kuyika zilango ngati njira ina yoti US ithandizire kukulitsa mphamvu zake za dollar.
Chiyambireni dongosolo la Bretton Woods mu 1944 dola yaku America yakhala ikugwira ntchito yandalama yosungidwa padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo pazaka makumi angapo dziko la US lasungabe udindo wake ngati chuma chambiri padziko lonse lapansi.
Komabe, vuto lazachuma la 2008 linali chiyambi cha kutha kwa ulamuliro wa US.Kutsika kwa US komanso "kukwera kwa ena", kuphatikiza China, Russia, India ndi Brazil, zatsutsa ukulu wa US, adatero Poghosyan.
Pamene US idayamba kukumana ndi mpikisano womwe ukukula kuchokera kumadera ena amphamvu, idaganiza zogwiritsa ntchito dola ngati ndalama yapadziko lonse lapansi poyesa kukwera kwa ena ndikusunga mphamvu zaku US.
Pogwiritsa ntchito udindo wa dola, dziko la America laopseza mayiko ndi makampani, ponena kuti liwachotsa ku ndondomeko ya zachuma yapadziko lonse ngati satsatira ndondomeko ya US, adatero.
"Woyamba kuzunzidwa ndi ndondomekoyi anali Iran, yomwe idayikidwa pansi pa zilango zazikulu zachuma," adatero Poghosyan."Kenako US idaganiza zogwiritsa ntchito lamulo loletsa zilango ku China, makamaka motsutsana ndi makampani aku China olumikizana ndi matelefoni, monga Huawei ndi ZTE, omwe anali opikisana kwambiri ndi zimphona zaku America IT m'malo monga maukonde a 5G ndi luntha lochita kupanga."
Chida cha Geopolitical
Boma la US limagwiritsa ntchito dola mochulukirachulukira ngati chida choyambirira chopititsira patsogolo zofuna za dziko komanso kukhala ndi kukwera kwa ena, kudalira dola kukuchepa, ndipo mayiko ambiri omwe akutukuka kumene akufunitsitsa kusiya ngati ndalama zoyambira zamalonda, Poghosyan adatero. .
"Maikowa akuyenera kufotokoza njira zochepetsera kudalira kwawo pa dola yaku America, apo ayi azikhala pachiwopsezo cha US kuti awononge chuma chawo."
Tang wa ku Guanghua School of Management adati mayiko omwe akutukuka akuyenera kusiyanasiyana pazamalonda ndi zachuma powonjezera kuchuluka kwa omwe akuchita nawo malonda akuluakulu komanso magwero andalama ndi malo opangira ndalama, pofuna kuchepetsa kudalira kwawo chuma cha US.
Kuchotsa ndalama kudzakhala kovuta mu nthawi yaifupi komanso yapakatikati koma msika wachuma padziko lonse lapansi ndi wosiyana siyana ukhoza kuchepetsa kudalira dola ya US ndikukhazikitsa dongosolo la zachuma padziko lonse, Tang adatero.
Mayiko ambiri achepetsa ngongole za US zomwe ali nazo ndipo ayamba kusinthanitsa ndalama zawo zakunja.
Bank of Israel idalengeza mu Epulo kuti yawonjezera ndalama za Canada, Australia, Japan ndi China kunkhokwe zake zosinthira ndalama zakunja, zomwe m'mbuyomu zidali ndi dollar yaku US, mapaundi a Britain ndi yuro.
Madola aku US amatenga 61 peresenti ya ndalama zosungirako ndalama zakunja, poyerekeza ndi 66.5 peresenti m'mbuyomu.
Banki yapakati ku Egypt idasunganso njira zosiyanasiyana pogula matani 44 a golidi mgawo loyamba la chaka chino, kuwonjezeka kwa 54 peresenti, World Gold Council idatero.
Mayiko ena monga India ndi Iran akukambirana za kuthekera kogwiritsa ntchito ndalama zamayiko pamalonda awo apadziko lonse lapansi.
Mtsogoleri Wapamwamba wa Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei adapempha mu July kuti asiye pang'onopang'ono dola pamalonda apakati ndi Russia.Pa Julayi 19 dziko lachisilamu linayambitsa malonda a rial-rouble pamsika wake wosinthira ndalama zakunja.
"Dola imasungabe udindo wake monga ndalama zosungiramo ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi, koma njira yochotsera ndalamazo yayamba kufulumira," adatero Poghosyan.
Komanso, kusintha kwa dongosolo la pambuyo pa Cold War kudzachititsa kuti dziko lapansi likhale lamitundu yambiri komanso kutha kwa dziko lonse la US hegemony, adatero.
Nthawi yotumiza: Sep-05-2022